Goldman Sachs: Expects Trump Administration's Base Tariff Rate to Increase to 15%

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/07/23 14:22:16

BlockBeats News, July 23rd, Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist David Mericle expects that the US base "parity" tariff rate will be increased from 10% to 15%, with copper and key mineral tariffs reaching 50%—this move could exacerbate inflationary pressures and dampen economic growth. To reflect the new tariff assumptions and incorporate the "preliminary view" of the impact of import tariffs, Goldman Sachs has simultaneously adjusted its forecasts for US inflation and GDP growth. Goldman Sachs has lowered its 2025 core inflation forecast from 3.4% to 3.3%, raised its 2026 forecast from 2.6% to 2.7%, and raised its 2027 forecast from 2.0% to 2.4%.

Mericle stated that the tariffs are expected to cumulatively push up core prices by 1.7% over 2-3 years. He added that the tariffs will reduce this year's GDP growth rate by 1 percentage point, by 0.4 percentage point in 2026, and by 0.3 percentage point in 2027. Consequently, Goldman Sachs has downgraded its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1%. (Jinshi)

Federal Reserve Chairman Waller's debut featured a significant slimming statement, the cancellation of forward guidance, refusal to submit the dot plot, and the establishment of five working groups, vowing to uphold the 2% inflation target, which triggered a sharp decline in U.S. stocks and a surge ...

From Disruptor to Shadow Market: The Crypto Market is Becoming a Colony of Traditional Finance

"Coin-stock linkage" has evolved from the early stage of macro correlation and one-way penetration of emotional funds to the current 3.0 stage, where on-chain perpetual contracts provide extended trading hours and emotional signal value for traditional assets 24/7, and participate in Pre-IPO pricing...

Dalio's important long article: How to position in the current market environment?

Do not confuse the excitement for new technologies with whether those tech stocks are attractive.

OKX Star analyzes Binance's competitive advantages: when regulation levels the playing field, competition has just begun

OKX founder Star published a lengthy article, systematically analyzing Binance's competitive advantages over the years: regulatory arbitrage, speculative narrative cycles, social media control, and superficial compliance, stating that the essence of these advantages is not product capability, but ra...

New gameplay for participating in initial offerings on cryptocurrency exchanges

In this competition for cutting-edge assets, what has always been truly scarce is not the technology, but the underlying equity itself.

Why Is Bitcoin Down Today? What the Hawkish FOMC Means for SpaceX, Gold and Nasdaq

Why is Bitcoin down today? A hawkish FOMC pressured crypto and gold, while SpaceX surged to a $2.5 trillion valuation and Nasdaq gained attention. Here's what happened and why traders are looking beyond Bitcoin.

DeepSeek Financing Story

DeepSeek's financing insider information exposed: "Four-hour meeting" fully demonstrates Liang Wenfeng's determination for AGI, over a hundred institutions involved, Sequoia and Hillhouse rarely absent, not poaching talent is the hardest red line.

Morning Report | DeepSeek completes over $7 billion in financing, with a valuation exceeding $50 billion; Musk's personal wealth has surpassed the total market value of Bitcoin

Overview of Important Market Events on June 16

Cursor, why did you get on Musk's spaceship?

SpaceX set a record with its IPO, spending a staggering $60 billion to acquire the popular AI programming unicorn Cursor just four days later. Musk is using the ultimate puzzle of "super computing power + top coding engine" to propel the market value skyrocketing, surpassing Amazon in one fell swoop...

In the name of charity, for the benefit of the family: How the Trump family turned charity into profit?

This set of "beautiful rhetoric and value return to one's own people" has not stopped at charitable foundations; it has now almost been transferred intact to American Bitcoin.